JPMorgan Suggests a 50% S&P 500 Rally Is Near, Boosting Bitcoin Bull Case

Last Time Bitcoin Volatility Was This Low, BTC Surged by 25% in 24 Hours

For the previous few weeks, Bitcoin analysts have noticed extraordinarily low volatility within the nascent cryptocurrency market.

Nothing reveals this inaction fairly in addition to the chart beneath from Blockroots founder Josh Rager. It reveals that for the previous eight weeks now, BTC has been trapped in a ~15% vary — one thing irregular for this risky asset class.

Chart of BTC’s value motion over latest months by Josh Rager (@Josh_rager on Twitter). Chart from

According to a brand new evaluation, volatility has dropped to essential lows suggesting {that a} huge Bitcoin transfer is imminent.

Bitcoin Volatility Is At Crucial Lows

In March, Bitcoin volatility went off the charts because the cryptocurrency noticed one in all its worst days in historical past. Within the span of a day, BTC plunged by 50%, reaching lows of $3,700 in a transfer that liquidated billions.

Since this volatility surge, Bitcoin has settled. As the chart above depicts, the cryptocurrency has successfully flatlined, buying and selling with no noticeable development.

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This could also be set to vary, although.

A cryptocurrency dealer shared the chart beneath on July third, displaying Bitcoin’s historic volatility index over the previous two years.

Per the information, Bitcoin’s volatility is at lows not seen since March/April of 2019.

For people who don’t keep in mind what occurred then, right here’s a reminder: after buying and selling within the $3,000s for about 4 months, Bitcoin rocketed 25% larger on April 1st. The transfer took BTC from $4,000 to $5,000, then kick-started a multi-month bull run that took Bitcoin to $14,000.


Bitcoin Historical Volatility Index, one-day chart, BitMEX chart from “XC” (@Runtheirstops on Twitter). Chart from

The indisputable fact that volatility is dropping so quick suggests Bitcoin will see a transfer of macro significance within the following weeks, analysts have mentioned.

But when precisely that transfer comes, although, is a query laborious to reply.

There have been some which have prompt the extraordinarily low volatility is a bullish signal. For occasion, analyst Eric Thies shared the picture beneath, displaying that Bitcoin consolidating for therefore lengthy may very well be a constructive signal:

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“BTC stucturally trying much less like a neighborhood high and extra like a launchpad as of now. Naturally talking, issues could must go down earlier than they actually go up however this time appears to be like promisingly totally different.”


Bitcoin “high” evaluation by Eric Thies (@KingThies on Twitter). Chart from

Low Volatility Might Be a Good Thing

A Bloomberg analyst has speculated that the drop within the frequency of erratic value motion is an efficient factor for BTC. Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, wrote in June: 

“Maturation, larger depth and lots extra publicity through futures ought to proceed to suppress the first-born crypto’s volatility, clearly holding it tilted towards value appreciation. We view the benchmark crypto as a resting bull that probably wants one thing to vary considerably in its 10-or-so-year historical past to not simply resume doing what it was doing: appreciating.”

Featured Image from Shutterstock
Price tags: xbtusd, btcusd, btcusdt
Charts from
Last Time Bitcoin Volatility Was This Low, BTC Surged by 25% in 24 Hours

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